Chiefs fans gotta love their team. And why not! Oh, it’s more than just loyalty or wins and losses. You see, the Chiefs are 6-1 against the spread. Show me the money.
The New York Jets will be in town Sunday after a 43-23 drubbing at home last week against Buffalo. Quarterback Geno Smith was pulled in favor of Michael Vick. Smith threw three first-quarter interceptions and recorded just five yards passing.
It was the seventh straight SU loss for the Jets, who are just 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road. They are 2-6 ATS.
After starting the season with two losses, the Chiefs have gone 4-1 SU and 6-0 ATS. Yet keep this in mind: The Chiefs have struggled against the Jets with just two SU wins in their last seven meetings.
Odds Shark Computer prediction handicapping models show a a 26-17 Chiefs victory.
The Chiefs are averaging 25 points while the Jets rank 30th in defense, giving up 29 a game.
The schedule looks decent for the Chiefs, who could make some hay in the next four games — vs. Jets, at Buffalo, vs. Seattle and at Oakland.
Unfortunately, if you like the Chiefs, you need to take a long, hard look at laying 9½ points. Well, maybe not too hard. I’m ready to lay the points for $22.
Denver at New England. Oh, so you want to analyze the game through the quarterbacks. You’re right, two of the best are going at it. Can Tom Brady get more out of his Patriots? Or will Peyton Manning clean up with his multitude of terrific receivers? This is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game. The Broncos have lost the last two seasons in Foxborough with Manning at quarterback, and they haven’t beaten the Patriots on the road in more than eight years. That’s obviously something to consider. And I am. Go with the Patriots getting 3 for $22.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh. This one has all the earmarks of being a dandy. Steeler Ben Roethlisberger spent a week politely answering questions about Colt Andrew Luck, saying all the right things to anyone who asked about how impressed he was with the rising Indy star. Then he went out and set franchise records with 522 yards passing and six touchdowns while picking up his 100th victory in his 150th start as Pittsburgh whipped the Colts 51-34. So why are the Ravens favored by 1? Hmm. I don’t know, but I do know that I won’t bet the game. As a funsy, I’ll go with the Steelers.
NFL $33 Bet. Arizona +4 at Dallas.
NFL $22 Bets. Cleveland -6½ vs. Tampa, Cincy -11 vs. Jacksonville.
NFL $11 Bets. San Diego +1½ at Miami, Philadelphia -2 at Houston, San Francisco -10 vs. St. Louis, Seattle -15 vs. Oakland, Indy -3 at Giants.
NFL Picks But No Bets. *Carolina +3 vs. New Orleans, Minnesota -1 vs. Washington.
Big 12 Games Saturday
- Oklahoma State at Kansas State
- Kansas at Baylor
- TCU at West Virginia
- Texas at Texas Tech
- Oklahoma at Iowa State
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU its last five meetings with Kansas State, but the Wildcats are 4-1 against the spread in that time.
The Wildcats are undefeated and no doubt would like to keep sole possession of the conference lead.
They are 3-1 ATS in conference play while Okie State is 1-4.
The Cowboys played well in their opening loss to Florida State, but they haven’t played well of late, losing at TCU 42-9 and at home to West Virginia 34-10. Oklahoma State trailed the Mountaineers by only a touchdown heading into the fourth quarter — and was outgained for the game by only 12 yards.
The Wildcats have won four games in a row SU and five in a row ATS after shutting out Texas last week 23-0. Quarterback Jake Waters has gone four games without throwing an interception. The Wildcats have outgained five of seven opponents this season and outrushed five of seven of them by an average of 79 yards a game.
Handicappers believe the Cowboys are in a down season and they say the smart money should go with the better team in this spot, giving the points, no matter the spread. K-State is -14½.
The Odds Shark computer shows the Cats winning 29-23.
Interesting. I think I’ll take the Cats for $11, laying the points.
So what do you think about KU, huh? The Jayhawks are getting 36 points. Just think, if they managed to score just 14 then the Bears would have to score 50 just to push. The answer is: Take the Bears for $11.
TCU now has the highest-scoring offense in the country. The Horned Frogs’ 82-27 home victory over Texas Tech last Saturday came with a cost: They scored so many points that they burned through their season supply of fireworks. Drew Martin, TCU’s assistant AD for marketing and licensing, said Monday he was working with the school’s game-day pyrotechnician to determine just how big a fireworks order the school needs to place for its final two home games. Does it seem right to run up that many points on a conference rival? Maybe there’s an issue there but there was no need to go that big. So what happens with the Horned Frogs at West Virginia? Lots and lots of points again? Probably. I’ll stick with the Horned Frogs giving 5½ for $11.
Will Texas continue the ravaging of the Red Raiders? Probably. The Longhorns have some physical specimens on defense. They should cover the 15½ points, so bet $22.
The Cyclones have enough talent to cover at home against OU so take the 16½ for $11.
Nationally, there are some big games and the biggest probably is Auburn at Ole Miss. Can the Rebels come back from their loss last week to LSU? Handicappers say yes, even going with a computer score of 34-30. I disagree. The Tigers will win in Oxford so take the 2 points for $22.
College $33 Bet. Mississippi State -10½ vs. Arkansas.
College $22 Bets. *Florida State -4 at Louisville, Penn State -3½ vs. Maryland, BYU -4 at Middle Tennessee.
College $11 Bets. Notre Dame -14 at Navy, East Carolina -7 at Temple, Wisconsin -11 at Rutgers, Georgia -13 vs. Florida, Arizona +6½ at UCLA.
- Big 12. Last week, +19. To date, +$74.
- National College. Last week, -$28. To date, +$6.
- All Colleges. Last week, -$9. To date, +$80.
- Last week, -$22. To date -$17.
- NFL Picks. Last week, 8-7-0. To date, 62-57-1.
- Grand Total Bets. Last week, -$31. To date, +$63.